A revolution is coming. Right now, less than 1% of fleet vehicles are electric, but that’s going to change in the next 10 years, especially as large fleets are expected to be electrified in response to the EV 100 initiative.
In a decade, 12% of fleet vehicles will be plug-ins. That’s a rise from the current estimate of 2 million electric fleet vehicles to more than 70 million in 2030.
It’s becoming increasingly apparent that adding EVs to your fleet — or even transitioning into a full EV fleet — is an inevitable reality. Keep in mind: this isn’t just an upgrade to GPS or an auto start. Rather, this will be a massive shift from typical combustion vehicles that have been the only type of vehicle on the market since Ford rolled out their Model A more than 100 years ago. The shift to EV will mean monumental changes to how we manage fleets, and learn the new technology to support them.
That’s why we’re breaking down everything you need to know to its core: first starting with some basic EV terminology:
For those who have been dealing with regular old diesel cars their entire life, it’s hard to get a grasp on all the new EV lingo. We broke it down into the basics you’ll want to know to get started.
AC - Stands for alternate current, or current that regular changes direction.
DC - Stands for direct current, a type of charging that flows in one direction.
Now that you have the basics under your belt, it’s time to start your (electric) engines and take the first steps to prepare to add EVs.
Any good project begins with a clear goal. Keep tabs on which municipal fleets in your community and surrounding communities are going electric, and then establish goals for yourself. Set a target — say that you’re committed to having X amount of EVs by 2030. That’s enticing to customers, who increasingly say they prefer brands to be more environmentally friendly and ethical.
One of the benefits of an EV fleet is that you’ll see costs decrease tremendously in certain areas. EV tax credits are one of these areas, and the benefits add up quickly. Currently, EV tax credits that are available for 2019 tax returns is for $2,500 to $7,500 per EV purchased in the U.S. And many state and local governments offer tax credits as well (you can search for your area here). For an entire EV fleet, this could add up to mass amounts in savings over time.
Range anxiety is a valid reason to be weary of adding EVs to your fleet, but tech today can help ease a lot of that anxiety. Find charging stations instantly on apps like PlugShare, ChargeHub, even Google Maps, which allow you to search for “EV charging stations near me.” To pay for the charging, you can usually use an app like ChargePoint or EVgo. Not only can the apps estimate the cost of a full charge, but they can predict how many miles you’ll be able to go on that charge. EV charging locations are often at convenient places like Walgreens and Kroger.
The price of electric vehicles is falling, which is good news for wide consumer adoption — currently, more than 70 percent of electric car customers are high-earning, with incomes of at least 100K. But EV prices dropped from an average of $64,300 to $55,600 last year, a 13.4% decline. Here are some of the most popular EVs that are on the market now:
Between 2020 and 2030, major car manufacturers have big plans for EVs. Toyota announced plans to generate half of its sales from electrified vehicles by 2025, five years earlier than it previously estimated. Volkswagen aims for EVs to make up 40% of its global fleet by 2030. Cadillac's president said the majority of the brand's models would be electric by 2030, and Volvo’s first electric vehicle will go on sale in the US in the fourth quarter of 2020 with plans to release a new EV every year for the next five years.
While there were only 20,000 charging stations for electric cars in the country in 2018, the U.S. had approximately 78,500 charging outlets and almost 25,000 charging stations in March 2020. And there’s a big need for them — there will be an estimated 15 million plug-in EVs on the road in 2030, 15 times the current amount. Luckily, experts predict to see more and more public charging stations around the U.S. between now and 2023.
Extreme weather doesn’t bode well for most EVs. Research from AAA showed that when temperatures were at 20°F and heat was on, the driving range decreased by 41 percent. And when temperatures were as high as 91°F and air conditioning was on, the driving range was reduced by 17 percent. This may be part of why EVs are so popular in parts of California with mild weather, but may cause range anxiety for those living in the unpredictable weather of the midwest. To maintain battery life, EV drivers should try to keep their speed under 60 mph and avoid lengthy trips in rural areas when weather is severe.
Many fleets rely on trucks and vans, and at this moment in time, there aren’t a ton of options for larger EVs. But there’s hope for the very near future: EV startup Rivian (backed by Ford, Cox Automotive and Amazon) is prepared to put the first electric pickup truck on the market in late 2020. And although the price tag is high, the cost of the batteries that power EVs are expected to drop significantly; while the 2018 average price was $176/kWh, it’s expected to be $92/kWh by 2024 and then to $62/kWh by 2030 — making it more feasible to put together an EV fleet. Other companies, such as Lightning Systems, specialize in fleet electrification. Customers can buy fully electric vehicles that the company has actually converted from ICE to electric.
As vehicle ownership slowly decreases, Transportation as a Service is expected to grow in the coming years, meaning fleet managers may want to start reshaping their role into mobility managers. But even more interesting is that EVs are expected to dominate these shared mobility services. EVs currently account for 1.8% of the shared mobility fleet, but this is predicted to rise steeply to 80% by 2040.
While EV may not be widely adopted by long-haul delivery services in the next couple years, they have a tremendous opportunity to dominate last-mile deliveries. For fleets that work with local businesses that deliver, the drastically reduced maintenance and fuel costs of an EV fleet may be a game changer for bottom lines.
Maybe you’re ready to get into the nitty gritty of deciding where EVs fit in your fleet. Maybe you’d rather build out a procurement plan for the next few years. Either way, we’re here to help guide your every step. Let’s start planning your fleet’s future. Tell us more about your needs and we’ll get you fixed up with an expert.